Vital EnergyNYSE: VTLE

Vital Energy (VTLE) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s 3Q24 results show strong production growth, but transport bottlenecks and rising costs somewhat affect its margins. Production guidance for 2025 increased to 95-100 thousand boe/day, with a long-term goal of 150 thousand boe/day by 2030. Valuation models suggest Vista Energy needs Brent prices between $70-$75 to achieve a 15% yield, considering Argentina's economic instability.

Vital Energy secured a favorable deal in acquiring Point Energy Acreage. The net revenue using a 10% discount rate indicates an impressive discount for the sales price paid. The purchase price is approximately four times the annualized 2023 cash flow, suggesting a bargain price-to-EBITDA ratio (as management advocated).

Vital Energy's recent acquisitions have not led to expected profitability. Tax items and hedging gains and losses distorted quarterly comparisons. Many times, the purchaser inherits the seller's high-cost structure. Fixing it takes some time.

Vital Energy (VTLE) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.46 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.88 per share. This compares to earnings of $4.35 per share a year ago.

Raises full-year 2024 total and oil production forecast Increases estimated sub-$50 WTI breakeven locations by ~45% TULSA, OK, Aug. 07, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Vital Energy, Inc. (NYSE: VTLE) ("Vital Energy" or the "Company") today reported second-quarter 2024 financial and operating results. Supplemental slides have been posted to the Company's website and can be found at www.vitalenergy.com.

Transaction highly accretive to key metrics; adds 68 high-return gross locations Transaction highly accretive to key metrics; adds 68 high-return gross locations

Vital Energy is closing in on an all-cash deal to acquire private equity-owned Point Energy Partners for $1.1 billion, people familiar with the matter said on Sunday, a move that would extend a wave of consolidation in the U.S. oil and gas industry.

Vital Energy acquired smaller acreage with high costs in order to improve results through lower costs going forward. Management's focus on reducing breakeven prices for new wells has shown promising results, with potential for further improvement over time. Acquisitions in Delaware Basin and Upton County appear to compete well with Howard County acreage for capital dollars.