SCHP ETF

The Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF (SCHP) owns a portfolio of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. With the Fed cutting interest rates while inflation remains above target, SCHP should continue to see dual tailwinds from higher principal adjustments and duration returns. Paradoxically, the key risk to monitor is inflation. If inflation surges, the Fed may have to restart rate hikes, which could lead to duration losses for the SCHP.

SCHP holds a portfolio of long-term TIPS, which could benefit from increased inflation. However, if the Fed maintains its current stance on interest rates unless inflation becomes uncontrollable, any potential decreases in NAV may be minimal. Conversely, if the economy falters, the Fed is prepared to lower interest rates to stimulate job growth, which could have a positive impact on SCHP's NAV.

We think U.S. bond markets are underestimating how difficult it might be to fight inflation. We'll have confirmation one way or another starting next Tuesday. Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF™ contains TIPS, and an effective duration of around 7 years, where the implied expectations for inflation are too low and therefore the SCHP ETF is attractive. However, the duration and sensitivity to changes in real rate assumptions is a reason why we would opine that additional caution should be taken in addition to caution around macro.

TIPs, or Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, are a type of bond that protects against inflation. TIPs are becoming increasingly popular among investors due to rising inflation concerns. A look at SCHP, a TIPs ETF, follows.

Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF is designed to provide investors with a hedge against rising inflation by investing in Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. SCHP offers exposure to a wide range of TIPS issued by the U.S. government, providing a reliable and low-risk avenue for participating in inflation-protected fixed-income markets. While SCHP has performed well in terms of inflation protection, it may be outperformed by nominal Treasuries in a slowing inflation and declining interest rate environment.

Riding The TIPS Rollercoaster: SCHP's Bumpy Journey Towards A Potential Rebound