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Cambria Tail Risk ETF failed to provide downside protection during the 2022 bear market as markets had too many 'tail hedges'. However, heading into 2024, market complacency and proliferation of structured income products may lead to a market 'accident'. I'm upgrading the TAIL ETF as a contrarian buy within a portfolio to hedge against tail events.
Cambria Tail Risk ETF seeks to mitigate significant downside market risk, and falls in the hedging instruments portfolio allocation bucket. TAIL's holdings consist of a 10-year treasury bond and a ladder of SPY puts, designed to provide a positive return during an equity market collapse. TAIL was not an appropriate hedging instrument in a rising rates environment such as 2022, but will see its fortunes change as we move back towards a negative bonds/equities correlation.
TAIL is an ETF that is at its best when 2 things are happening at the same time. That might be happening right now. The 10-year US Treasury Bond price is rising, and the S&P 500 is threatening to drop, which drives the 10% of this ETF that is invested in SPX put options.
FAQ
- What is TAIL ETF?
- Does TAIL pay dividends?
- What stocks are in TAIL ETF?
- What is the current assets under management for TAIL?
- What is TAIL average volume?
- What is TAIL expense ratio?
- What is TAIL inception date?