JBG SMITH PropertiesNYSE: JBGS

JBG SMITH Properties is a government-dependent office REIT pivoting to multifamily properties. The REIT has marginally underperformed the Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund ETF so far in 2024. Core FFO crashed 50% Y/Y in Q2 2024 to $0.18/share on higher office vacancies and elevated interest expenses.

There are plenty of dividend stocks available, but occasionally you find one that grabs the interest of Wall Street.

Monumental Sports plans to move the Washington Wizards' and Washington Capitals' home arena to Alexandria-Potomac Yard, sparking interest in the real estate market. Washington DC has experienced steady population growth and job growth, making it an attractive location for real estate investment. The demand for multifamily housing is in balance, but the demand for office space is diminishing, creating potential investment opportunities in the real estate market.

JBG SMITH Properties stock has returned 29% since my initial Buy recommendation and has significantly outperformed the S&P 500. The planned relocation of the Washington Wizards and Washington Capitals to National Landing is a key positive for JBGS. I am not concerned by the company's recent dividend reduction as I prefer to see the company focus on share repurchases.

JBG Smith Properties shares have underperformed the S&P 500 and the real estate sector over the past 5 years. JBGS has been focused on shifting its business mix to be more balanced between commercial and multifamily properties. The company has been aggressively repurchasing shares, indicating confidence in its position and sending investors an important signal about valuation.

Office REITs are struggling due to the work-from-home trend, resulting in low occupancy and rents. JBG Smith Properties is aggressively recycling assets and focusing on the fast-growing National Landing area. JBGS investors have endured a long-term loss of share price and as revenues continue declining, there is significant risk of a dividend cut.