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PICK ETF has a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield but struggles due to a weak technical situation and features high concentration risk. The ETF's performance is heavily influenced by the US Dollar Index and its significant exposure to both US and foreign SMID caps. PICK's top holdings, including BHP, Rio Tinto, Freeport-McMoRan, and Glencore, require close monitoring for fundamental and technical cues.
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Increasing demand for base metals is driven by green energy initiatives, supporting higher prices. Copper prices have rallied significantly in Q2 2024. Sanctions on Russia and rising nonferrous metals prices are bullish for mining companies, creating potential investment opportunities in the sector.
Inflation is likely to accelerate and investors should consider hedges against it. PICK has a competitive management fee, a meaningful dividend, and a relatively low percentage of U.S. equities (for a global fund). The Fund's exclusion of silver and gold miners is a drawback, and the Fund has not performed well relative to the broad market and one of its competitors.
The iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF has performed well of late, driven by the strong rally in copper and iron ore prices. The ETF is already trading at a large discount to the broader market, and the metal price recovery should further support the valuation argument. The main risk comes from the PICK's high beta to the overall US market and the increasing risk of a sharp correction amid widespread optimism of interest rate cuts.
PICK is a global metals and miners ETF. The fund has underperformed YTD and has cut its dividends. A cheaper valuation, combined with a weaker dollar and higher commodity prices, could lead to better results moving forward.
Base metals prices have declined significantly since their highs in 2022, impacting the performance of the iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF. Chinese economic weakness and rising interest rates have contributed to the decline in base metals prices. Despite the current bearish trend, factors such as inflation, green energy initiatives, Chinese demand, and U.S. interest rates suggest potential buying opportunities for base metal-producing companies.
The iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF offers exposure to the metals and mining sector, but has underperformed compared to the broader market. The fund's portfolio consists of diverse mining companies, with BHP Group, Rio Tinto, and Vale S.A. being the largest holdings. PICK has a high dividend yield and a diversified portfolio, making it attractive for income-focused investors, but it comes with risks related to the cyclical nature of the industry and geopolitical factors.
Demand for basic materials is expected to remain high due to global population growth, increasing living standards, and investment in infrastructure and renewable energy. The iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF offers exposure to a globally diversified basket of major producers in the basic materials sector. The fund is subject to geopolitical risks and has exhibited significant volatility since its inception, but offers strong returns and increased portfolio diversification.
The current trend of high and rising Treasury yields suggests the iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF is well placed, particularly if inflation expectations move higher. Based on current bond yields and inflation expectations, PICK is extremely undervalued relative to both gold prices and global equities, with 50% upside potential.
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