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Nuveen Quality Municipal Income Fund distributions are only about 52% covered by investment income. NAD is also leveraged, which helped returns in 2024 but may not be an advantage going forward as rates are no longer falling as fast. Nuveen Select Tax-Free Income Portfolio is unleveraged and fully covers its dividends with investment income.
Recent large dividend hikes in Nuveen closed end muni bond funds now have NAD paying out two times what it is earning in investment income. Overdistribution erodes a fund's net asset value and earnings power over time. In the short term, the narrowing discount to NAV and the prospect for declining leverage cost from interest rate cuts make NAD a Hold.
Bonds are declining due to expectations of rates remaining elevated for an extended period, presenting a chance to purchase. Nuveen Quality Muni Income Fund shows strong performance compared to other investments, and municipal bonds seem resilient to outside disruptions. NAD offers a generous dividend and significant discount, but lags behind other municipal bonds in performance.
XMPT: Muni Bond CEFs Looking More Appealing
The Nuveen Quality Municipal Income Fund is expected to outperform unlevered funds in a falling rate environment. The Nuveen Select Tax-Free Income Portfolio is an unlevered fund with a similar long term total return to NAD and less volatility but with lower yield. The choice between NAD and NXP depends on an investor's economic outlook and preference for income stability or higher yield.
Leveraged closed-end bond funds have faced challenges in the past year due to rising interest rates, with the Nuveen Quality Municipal Income Fund experiencing a total return of around -10%. The spread between bond yields and the cost of leverage is starting to widen again, which could lead to increased fund income and dividend increases for NAD. Nuveen's conservative management approach and the potential end of the interest rate hiking cycle could make NAD a good investment opportunity.
We review CEF market valuation and performance through the last week of March and highlight recent market action. CEFs had a strong week with nearly all sectors finishing in the green as investors appreciated no bad bank news and looked to a likely upcoming Fed pivot.